Why Trump Is Likely To Sleepwalk Into A Zionist Planned Regional War

Empowering Weak & Oppressed

Tahir Mahmoud

Ramadan 01, 1446 2025-03-01

News & Analysis

by Tahir Mahmoud (News & Analysis, Crescent International Vol. 55, No. 1, Ramadan, 1446)

For decades, the United States and its European surrogates have strategically installed some of the most incompetent and corrupt despots in power across West Asia. The rationale behind this approach is simple: rulers who lack local legitimacy are easier to coerce into implementing the strategic objectives of their foreign benefactors. Such rulers, beholden to external powers rather than their own people, serve as effective tools for imperial interests.

In 2025, however, destiny—or more accurately, Divine hand—placed an ignoramus, Donald Trump, at the helm of American politics and, by extension, the figurehead of western imperialism.

Trump’s rise to power was not an anomaly but a symptom of a decaying political system, one that has long prioritized spectacle over substance. His lack of political acumen is already exacerbating the systemic rot in both the United States and the European Union.

Trump’s inadvertent disruption of the mechanisms that sustain western imperial power is bound to have major consequences. In any system—whether financial, logistical, or political—if established processes are abruptly altered without well-thought-out alternatives, turbulence is inevitable. Trump, with his transactional mindset and lack of strategic foresight, is disrupting these mechanisms without offering a coherent replacement.

While this is bad news for proponents of US imperialism, it is good news for millions who have been at the receiving end of American aggression for decades.

The zionist factor: Manipulation and strategic miscalculations

One of the greatest vulnerabilities of Trump’s approach to governance is his inconsistency. His decision-making is largely persona-driven rather than institutional, making him particularly susceptible to external manipulation.

Given that the zionist lobby wields considerable influence over American state machinery, it is unsurprising that Israel is already maneuvering to exploit Trump’s erratic style for its own regional objectives.

Clear signs indicate that Benjamin Mileikowsky (Netanyahu) is actively maneuvering to manipulate Trump into taking aggressive action against the Islamic Republic of Iran and its regional allies. Both Trump and the zionist cabal appear to conflate the optics of war with its actual strategy, mistakenly assuming that the regional conflict, which has been ongoing since October 2023, is unfolding in their favor.

By focusing on short-term tactical maneuvers while lacking a coherent strategic vision, the Mileikowsky-Trump duo are steering themselves toward an inescapable regional quagmire—one that will ultimately weaken their positions rather than strengthen them.

The Mileikowsky-Trump approach carries significant risks. The zionist regime and its American enablers appear to be underestimating Islamic Iran’s strategic calculus.

From Tehran’s perspective, escalating resistance against US-zionist aggression into a broader regional conflict serves its long-term interests. A wider war would stretch the US thin—both logistically and politically—while simultaneously forcing Israel into a prolonged regional military conflict. This situation will keep Israel in a state of political, social and economic instability.

Additionally, given that the European Union is already facing a historic geopolitical defeat in Ukraine, coupled with the deterioration of its domestic political and economic situation, Israel would be forced to engage in a regional conflict with greatly diminished external support.

Moreover, Iran views a direct confrontation with the US during Trump’s presidency as a preferable scenario. His crude and isolationist approach has eroded America’s soft power, leaving the country diplomatically weakened and increasingly isolated. A war initiated under Trump’s leadership would struggle to garner the broad regional and international support that previous American military aggressions enjoyed.

The flaws in Trump’s threat-based strategy

Trump’s simplistic, ego-driven approach to policy is not the only reason the likelihood of miscalculation is alarmingly high. His primary political tactic—issuing threats—has a fundamental flaw. Threats can be effective as long as they remain potential actions, but once acted upon, they lose their deterrent power. Once an adversary recognizes a threat as either a bluff or an inevitable move, they begin preparing countermeasures that inflict real consequences on the aggressor, in this case the Trump regime.

This creates a feedback loop for the Trump regime: as he escalates his rhetoric and threats, determined adversaries like Islamic Iran and its allies will respond with tangible actions, further cornering Trump’s regime into a series of reactionary measures.

Lacking both strategic depth and geopolitical understanding, Trump is likely to find himself in a conflict spiraling inexorably that he neither intended nor fully comprehends.

The internal political dynamics of the US establishment

Beyond external threats, Trump also faces pressure from within the US political establishment. The so-called “liberal” faction of the ruling elite is determined to see Trump humiliated politically.

Given that Trump campaigned on a promise to avoid costly foreign entanglements, a military quagmire would significantly damage his credibility among his support base.

His base is already witnessing the contradictions between Trump the candidate and Trump the president. If he is maneuvered into an unwinnable war, it is likely to erode his domestic standing even further.

Deterrence and the path to avoiding war

With all these factors in mind, the probability of an unintended regional war remains high. The only concrete action that could deter Trump from stumbling into such a conflict is decisive and pre-emptive strategic maneuver by Islamic Iran.

Tehran must reassert its offensive presence in the region—particularly by confronting Israeli proxies occupying Damascus—to shift the strategic calculus. Furthermore, Iran’s newly signed strategic agreement with Russia presents an opportunity to bolster deterrence.

If Tehran convinces Moscow to supply advanced military equipment on mass scale to Iran and Yemen, it could significantly increase the cost of American-zionist aggression. This, in turn, could serve as a political deterrent against the reckless Trump regime.

This option, however, hinges on the progress of negotiations between Moscow and Washington regarding their proxy war in Ukraine.

Given the number of unpredictable variables in these talks, a mutually beneficial agreement between Russia and the US is far from guaranteed. Trump’s erratic nature and ignorance of geopolitical intricacies only heighten the uncertainty.

As events unfold, the world is witnessing an American president whose unpredictable and transactional nature is exacerbating existing global tensions. The Trump regime is not failing merely to uphold the structures of western imperialism—it is actively accelerating its breakdown. Whether by design or blunder, his policies are leading the US and its allies toward increased geopolitical instability.

If key regional actors fail to take decisive action to assert their geopolitical interests in the face of US-zionist aggression, a regional war will become inevitable.

This presents a counterintuitive strategic dilemma for Islamic Iran and its allies: to prevent a prolonged and destructive war, they must take bold and calculated tactical actions to signal to their adversaries that any escalation will carry severe consequences.

Such actions must clearly demonstrate that a regional war would not only destabilize America’s puppet regimes and endanger Israel’s security directly but also inflict significant damage on the global economy, making continued aggression an unsustainable course for Washington and its zionist surrogate.